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础谤迟铆肠耻濒辞 16 Mar, 2021

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Forest Restoration Interventions in Sagaing Region, Myanmar

The Restoration Initiative (TRI) Myanmar Project has聽conducted a financial analysis of six restoration interventions in six townships of Sagaing Region, Myanmar聽that assesses the potential uptake of these interventions by small-scale farmers.

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Photo: A woman harvesting resin from Sterculia versicolor plantation established as a community forest in Kyunhla Township 漏 Bo Sann

Applying the Restoration Opportunities Assessment Methodology (ROAM), data on costs and benefits of restoration interventions were collected in 2019聽at聽six township-level workshops聽and聽then聽validated聽through farmer聽interviews. The time frame for analysis is set at 30 years to聽allow for聽comparisons聽between聽interventions. Present values of future costs and benefits聽were聽estimated using an annual discount rate of 10%. The financial analysis聽used three indicators: Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and Benefit Cost Ratio (BCR).

The results indicate positive NPVs for all the interventions, ranging from MMK 2,704,665 per acre (teak and sesame intervention) to MMK 14,449,575 per acre (Sterculia versicolor聽plantation) over 30聽years. IRR聽ranged from 19%聽for聽pure teak plantation to 76%聽for聽Sterculia versicolor聽plantation.聽All聽six聽interventions聽had聽a BCR of greater than 1, with the smallest (1.7)聽for聽mixed聽teak and sugarcane and the largest (5.1)聽for聽pure teak. Pure teak聽has the聽highest BCR and聽an聽acceptable NPV, but its聽low聽IRR聽makes it risky should the discount rate rise over 30 years. In other words, it鈥檚 a high return but high risk venture, which is why teak plantations are typically established by businesses not small-holders.聽From a small-holder perspective,聽Sterculia versicolor聽is the most聽profitable,聽followed聽by pineapple and聽then聽mango orchards.聽

For聽further information,聽please see the report at LINK.